Manager, Calendar Analytics & Forecasting, Tim Hortons

Ready to make your next big professional move? Join us on our journey to achieve our big dream of building the most loved restaurant brands in the world.   

Restaurant Brands International Inc. is one of the world's largest quick service restaurant companies with nearly $45 billion in annual system-wide sales and over 32,000 restaurants in more than 120 countries and territories.

RBI owns four of the world's most prominent and iconic quick service restaurant brands – TIM HORTONS®, BURGER KING®, POPEYES®, and FIREHOUSE SUBS®. These independently operated brands have been serving their respective guests, franchisees and communities for decades. Through its Restaurant Brands for Good framework, RBI is improving sustainable outcomes related to its food, the planet, and people and communities.

RBI is committed to growing the TIM HORTONS®, BURGER KING®, POPEYES® and FIREHOUSE SUBS® brands by leveraging their respective core values, employee and franchisee relationships, and long track records of community support. Each brand benefits from the global scale and shared best practices that come from ownership by Restaurant Brands International Inc.

Restaurant Brands International is looking for a Manager, Calendar Analytics & Forecasting, Canada.  Calendar Analytics serves a business-critical role in building Calendar sales and traffic plans that outperform competitors, support our long-term priorities, and drive sustainable growth for the Tims Canada restaurant business.

At Tim Hortons, we aren’t just looking for candidates, we are looking for data-driven marketing leaders: intellectually curious, consumer-focused, disruptive thinkers and creative problem-solvers.  We dream big to grow Canada’s largest and most loved restaurant brand sustainably day by day.

RBI follows a 5 day, in-office work schedule to support collaboration. Candidates should be comfortable working onsite 5 days per week out of our office in Toronto, ON.

Role & Responsibilities:

Own product-level forecasts for test and national marketing initiatives in assigned categories , improving accuracy rates over time

• Use a variety of data, incl. historical performance trends, consumer research, pricing assumptions, and more to build product-level forecasts
• Identify, track, and test key assumptions in partnership with Category Management and Demand Planning; gain approval from senior leaders in Marketing and Supply Chain
• Track and improve forecast accuracy; identify sources of variances and improve model and processes to improve accuracy , speed and reproducibility

Report on performance of marketing initiatives in assigned categories, identifying root-level drivers to improve understanding

• Build and maintain models and dashboards to report weekly performance and month- and promo-end summaries
• Analyze performance drivers vs. forecast across the sales formula (guest count and frequency, attachment rate, effective price, etc.) to build and test hypotheses for variance, informing future strategy & forecast improvement opportunities
• Partner with Data Engineering, Consumer Insights, Performance Analytics, and other teams to deploy new data to uncover hidden insights

Lead deep-dive analyses  to translate underlying performance into actionable recommendations to improve the plan

• Identify trends in routine performance reporting and translate into larger hypotheses to test and build deeper understanding of guest behaviour
• Test your hypotheses by using guest- and token-level data to identify how cohorts change their purchase behaviour in response to various factors
• Generate recommendations for the Calendar, Category, and Innovation teams, as well as leadership and Restaurant Owner stakeholder groups

Qualifications & Skills:

• 2+ years of relevant experience in product/portfolio strategy and/or analytics, financial modeling, management consulting, or similar;
• Strong acumen in data analysis, analytical and quantitative problem solving to form and test hypotheses to reach data-driven recommendations;
• Comfortable communicating advanced and complex analytical findings to business users and senior leaders;
• Advanced skill in SQL, Microsoft Excel and PowerPoint

Base salary range of $100,000 – $130,000 CAD. Base salary for this position may vary based on relevant factors such as experience, education, location, and skills.

This position is eligible to participate in the Company’s annual discretionary bonus plan, subject to the terms and conditions of the incentive program, based on individual and company performance metrics. This position may also be eligible for additional compensation in the form of equity grants pursuant to the Company’s long-term incentive plan.

#TimHortons

Benefits at all of our global offices are focused on physical, mental and financial wellness. We offer unique and progressive benefits, including a comprehensive global paid parental leave program that supports employees as they expand their families, free telemedicine and mental wellness support.

Restaurant Brands International and all of its affiliated companies (collectively, RBI) are equal opportunity and affirmative action employers that do not discriminate on the basis of race, national origin, religion, age, color, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, disability, or veteran status, or any other characteristic protected by local, state, provincial or federal laws, rules, or regulations. RBI's policy applies to all terms and conditions of employment. Accommodation is available for applicants with disabilities upon request.